Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.037882 0.044233 0.051222 0.059471 0.068926 0.079411 0.091904
2025-06-22 0.028291 0.036548 0.046484 0.059268 0.075218 0.094396 0.119130
2025-06-29 0.021316 0.030136 0.041625 0.057560 0.078945 0.106485 0.144443
2025-07-06 0.016776 0.025718 0.038216 0.056740 0.083225 0.119407 0.172174
2025-07-13 0.014555 0.023956 0.037926 0.059847 0.092929 0.140432 0.213061
2025-07-20 0.012614 0.022166 0.037182 0.061997 0.101312 0.160327 0.254413
2025-07-27 0.010360 0.019408 0.034427 0.060513 0.103801 0.171564 0.283922
2025-08-03 0.008740 0.017381 0.032466 0.059898 0.107386 0.184605 0.317251
2025-08-10 0.007240 0.015263 0.029978 0.057948 0.108367 0.193374 0.344368
2025-08-17 0.006093 0.013583 0.027977 0.056499 0.109902 0.203021 0.373618
2025-08-24 0.005324 0.012500 0.026899 0.056547 0.114010 0.217313 0.411923
2025-08-31 0.004526 0.011199 0.025182 0.055097 0.115101 0.226268 0.441514
2025-09-07 0.004215 0.010928 0.025547 0.057896 0.124760 0.251928 0.504080
2025-09-14 0.003702 0.010093 0.024596 0.057860 0.128835 0.267597 0.549680
2025-09-21 0.003152 0.009053 0.023024 0.056267 0.129534 0.276839 0.583912
2025-09-28 0.002739 0.008270 0.021906 0.055503 0.131840 0.289395 0.625633
2025-10-05 0.002602 0.008191 0.022440 0.058568 0.142735 0.320203 0.706232
2025-10-12 0.002424 0.007962 0.022567 0.060687 0.151749 0.347908 0.782781
2025-10-19 0.002096 0.007227 0.021294 0.059237 0.152482 0.358230 0.824190
2025-10-26 0.001849 0.006678 0.020416 0.058636 0.155098 0.372785 0.875671
2025-11-02 0.001585 0.006013 0.019104 0.056725 0.154337 0.379804 0.911440
2025-11-09 0.001375 0.005470 0.018040 0.055305 0.154593 0.389078 0.952845
2025-11-16 0.001238 0.005142 0.017541 0.055352 0.158522 0.407064 1.015100